喀爾文教派信徒們，自1568年至1648年，歷經80年的戰爭後脫離西班牙，建立尼德蘭七省聯合共和國 (7 United Netherlands)，簡稱荷蘭共和國(Dutch Republic)。建國後一支代表國家勢力的荷蘭東印度公司一路東擴，於1624年8月26日，荷軍撤出澎湖轉往不受明朝政府管轄的福爾摩沙（臺灣），建立臺灣本島信史上第一個統治政權。荷蘭統治38年後、易手東寧王朝鄭成功統治21年，接著滿清統治212年後、割讓給日本統治了50年，到了1945年因二戰敗北交出了統治權，由蔣介石率領國民黨政權執行軍事佔領、至今已有78年。算算台灣的明文歷史，自荷蘭於1624年入主，到明2024年即將屆滿400年。
5月16日美國聯邦眾議院外交委員會，通過「台灣國際團結法案」（Taiwan International Solidarity Act）指出，聯大2758號決議承認，中華人民共和國政府，是聯合國內中國唯一合法代表，但並沒有處理台灣與台灣人民，在聯合國或任何相關組織的代表權問題，也沒有在中華人民共和國與台灣關係上採取立場，或包含任何關於台灣主權的聲明。目前台灣2300萬人在國際社會，沒有正式公開的管道可以發聲，究竟是誰代表台灣人民，是誰才有資格代表台灣人民？那當然是由台灣人民，自己推選出來的政府與總統。前提是該政府與總統，必須清楚地向國際社會說明，只代表台灣，而不是要去與中共爭代表中國的中華民國。中華民國台灣不清不楚，沒有人知道它究竟是，要代表台灣，還是中（華民）國？
Calvinists, from 1568 to 1648, separated from Spain after 80 years of war and established the 7 United Netherlands (Dutch Republic) for short. After the founding of the Dutch Republic, the Dutch East India Company, which represented the power of the country, expanded all the way eastward. On August 26, 1624, the Dutch army withdrew from Penghu and transferred to Formosa (Taiwan), which was not under the jurisdiction of the Ming Dynasty government and established the island of Taiwan. The first ruling regime in history. After 38 years of rule by the Netherlands, Cheng Cheng-kung ruled for 21 years after changing hands to the Tungning Dynasty. Then 212 years of rule by the Manchu Qing Dynasty, it was ceded to Japan for 50 years. In 1945, due to the defeat of World War II, the ruling power was handed over. Chiang Kai-shek led the KMT regime to implement military affairs. It has been occupied for 78 years. Calculating Taiwan's plain text history, since the Netherlands took over in 1624, it will be 400 years by next year.
【It has never been a nation by itself yet】
Looking back on Taiwan's four hundred years of history, it has been ruled by foreign regimes. Taiwan has never established a regime that truly belongs to Taiwan. It is indeed regrettable, sad and ashamed. Why? Although the ancestors and sages of the past dynasties continued to succeed and sacrifice their lives, they still failed to establish a country. Could it be that the people of Taiwan are born with desperate lives and are only worthy of being colonized by foreign powers, or that we have not worked hard enough, that our strength is not exhausted, or that we are still undergoing trials and will one day establish a country that belongs to the Taiwanese?
【Taiwan is still an international orphan】
To establish a country of their own for the Taiwanese, of course, one must have a clear understanding of one's own current situation. Is Taiwan currently a sovereign and independent country? The government in power in Taiwan today is called the Republic of China. Although it claims to be a sovereign and independent country, it is an out-and-out regime in exile. It fled to Taiwan after being hunted down from China, which it once ruled in the past. It neither owns Taiwan's territorial sovereignty nor enjoys internationally recognized nationality, so it is still an international orphan and is not a member state of the United Nations. Taiwan's current identity is a political entity that enjoys popular sovereignty and is under military occupation. The United States is the principal occupying power authorized by the San Francisco Peace Treaty, and the government-in-exile of the Republic of China is the entrusted subordinate occupying power. Because it does not have national status, it can only be called the governing authority on Taiwan.
【Twisted history as the endgame of China civil war】
Regrettably, the current politicians in Taiwan's political arena always misinterpret history and mislead the people to say that today's Taiwan is the endgame of the unresolved civil war between the Kuomintang and the Communist Party, rather than the principal occupying power after World War II and the unfinished business of the United States in Taiwan. The Kuomintang, which was chased to Taiwan by the Communist Party, vowed that as long as it signed a peace agreement with the Communist Party, all tension in the Taiwan Strait would disappear. They have repeatedly blamed that the current state of unbridled swordsmanship is completely caused by the US warlike. Lu Chien-yi, a researcher at Academia Sinica Institute of European and American Studies, said: "The United States does not want to annex Taiwan, so we don't have to be afraid of the United States. Brake, there is a force very hard, hold your head and only look at that side." Fu Dawei, honorary professor of Yangming Jiaotong University, said: "It seems that we don't want to follow the United States all day long to fight against China. We are dealing with the United States and China at an equidistant diplomacy approach.” This is the perception of the current situation in Taiwan by typical unification scholars.
【Xi asks to demilitarize and obediently surrender】
In their eyes, the supremacy of the aggressor’s power cannot be doubted, and the hegemony is always famous and should not be resisted. They never dared, could not, and would not condemn the bully who bullies others, but instead asked the victim, why? If you want to resist, why don't you obediently wait to die? The essence of the Communist Party is that it can dye white cloth black without blushing or panting. They said that the Russo-Ukrainian war was provoked by Ukrainian Zelensky, who took European and American military aid weapons and swaggered. The special military action launched by Putin has long been made very clear: "Ukraine must be demilitarized and must not possess weapons; it must be de-Nazified and must not resist Russia. Ukraine is still obsessed with obsession and surrender obediently without laying down its weapons. The war, we have to continue fighting." Xi Jinping also applied the same rhetoric to Taiwan, if Taiwan lays down its arms and surrenders, everything will be fine, and the world will naturally be peaceful.
【Campaign to win and gain Power for Taiwan's Future】
Fortunately, Taiwan has gone through the era of white terror and authoritarianism. Today, the people's wisdom has been developed, and the people who are authoritarian and bullying are bound to rise up to resist. The leader who leads the people to resist violence is closely related to the success or failure of the social movement. How Taiwan will survive this wave of bullying from China's Xi Jinping, it is very important to choose the leader, the president carefully. As the presidential campaign heats up, all political parties are making every effort to prepare for a hand-to-hand fight. All the candidates have resorted to all their means, striving to qualify and gain power, to dominate the fate of the 23 million people in Taiwan for the next four years, or even forever.
【Parties nominated presidential candidates】
At this moment in Taiwan's political arena, the political parties that have emerged to compete for the presidency include the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, the largest opposition party, the Kuomintang, and the second largest opposition party, the Taiwan People's Party, expressing their willingness to launch their own candidates. As of now, the DPP has confirmed that the current party chairman and vice president William Lai will be formally nominated by the party. Since only one member of the People's Party received the form, the party chairman Ko Wen-je was formally nominated as a candidate on May 17. After the Kuomintang internal nomination process, defeat the founder of Hon Hai Group, Terry Guo, Hou You-yi, the current mayor of New Taipei City, was also recruited on May 17, and was nominated by the party central committee to officially become the party's candidate.
【Respectively identified the direction of Taiwan】
Looking at the currently expected candidates William Lai, Ko Wen-je, Hou You-yi, their respective perceptions, identity, and interpreter of Taiwan's current situation and Taiwan's possible future situation have completely different gaps. Because this is related to everything, the wealth and life of the people of Taiwan, so it is worthy of in-depth discussion and analysis. Some people say that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China, some people say that the Republic of China is our country and cannot be abandoned, and some people think that Taiwan is already a sovereign and independent country, which is now called the Republic of China and is not affiliated to the People's Republic of China.
【Fou’s cup and water theory on isometric diplomacy】
Hou You-yi's national interpretation, he said, "The Republic of China is a democratic and free country with the rule of law. We are called the Republic of China. My country is called the Republic of China everywhere. The Republic of China and Taiwan are symbiotic bodies. The Republic of China is a cup, and Taiwan is water. Only when the cup is held well can there be water to drink; if the cup is broken, the water will be spilled. This means that only by maintaining the Republic of China can Taiwan be maintained.” He went to Singapore from April 19th to 22nd for a four-day and three-night visit. Maintaining a neutral, equidistant diplomacy between the two powers of the United States and China, and a foreign policy aimed at national interests are quite recognized and considered to be of reference value.
【Ko accepted one China and Taiwan is bandit】
Ko Wen-je is eloquent and attractive to young people in Taiwan; he has never, dared, and will not criticize China's bullying of Taiwan. In the past, he compared Taiwan to robbers robbing banks, and China to policemen guarding banks. He said that in fact one China is not an issue, and no one thinks that there are two Chinas in the world today. On April 20th, at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a think tank in Washington DC, I was asked by Bonny Lin, Director of the Center's China National Power Program and Ph.D. in Political Science from Yale University: Do you worry about strengthening military and defense cooperation with the United States, causing China to be unhappy and dare not do it? He said that the principle of the TPP's foreign relations is "Taiwan independence and cross-strait peace.” Of course, it hopes that cross-strait peace can be achieved, but the bottom line is Taiwan's independence. “We must know our bottom line and let each other know what the other side's bottom line is. If you invade my bottom line, then I have no choice but to fight you.”
【Lai's pragmatic TI and the Four Persistence】
William Lai believes that Taiwan has land, people, sovereignty, and a government, and it is elected regularly. In fact, it is a sovereign and independent country, and there is no need to declare independence separately. The sovereignty of the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China are not subordinate to each other. To put it simply, pragmatic Taiwan independence means "Taiwan is not part of the People's Republic of China", and pragmatic work is to protect sovereignty, maintain a democratic constitutional system, and oppose Chinese aggression. The four insistences of the English president, and even the 1999 resolution on the future of Taiwan by the Democratic Progressive Party, also have this concept. The "Four Persistence" are: adhere to the constitutional system of freedom and democracy, insist that the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China do not belong to each other, insist that sovereignty cannot be invaded and annexed, and insist that the future of Taiwan under the Republic of China must follow the will of all Taiwanese people.
【Taiwan International Solidarity Act】
On May 16, the Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives passed the "Taiwan International Solidarity Act" (Taiwan International Solidarity Act). nor does it take a position on the relationship between the People's Republic of China and Taiwan or contain any statement regarding Taiwan's sovereignty. At present, 23 million people in Taiwan are in the international community, and there is no official and public channel to speak out. Who represents the people of Taiwan, and who is qualified to represent the people of Taiwan? Of course, the government and the president are elected by the people of Taiwan themselves. The premise is that the government and the president must clearly explain to the international community that they only represent Taiwan, and they are not trying to compete with the CCP to represent the ROC of China.
【400 years wish bases on taking the right side】
The international community will interpret Taiwan's latest public opinion from Taiwan's presidential election next year 2024. There are currently three groups of candidates on the table, Hou You-yi of the KMT, who insists on the Republic of China; Ko Wen-je of the TPP, who is vague about Taiwan and China, and he has always been afraid of China and licking the CCP. William Lai of the DPP, who follows Tsai’s footstep policies and advocates pragmatic Taiwan independence. At present, in Taiwan society, apart from some self-identified Chinese voters who firmly advocate submitting to China, there is also a small group of experts and scholars who strongly advocate Taiwan, the United States and China to maintain equidistant diplomacy. However, most people believe that Taiwan must keep up with the times and follow the example of the EU countries in waking up from the nightmare of Russia and Ukraine. Finland and Sweden resolutely gave up the century-old neutrality policy and resolutely applied to join NATO to take sides. Taiwan is not the endgame of the China civil war between the KMT and the CCP, and it must not succumb to China's intimidation and bullying. We must elect a president and government who can closely negotiate and cooperate with the principal occupying power, the United States, in order to realize Taiwan's final international legal status as soon as possible. Over the past four hundred years, whether the Taiwanese people can realize their long-cherished wish to be the master of the country depends on how voters cast ballots on take side or equidistant policies.
